Tuesday, December 21, 2010

Hypothetical Put/Call Time Spread

Another really short term trade idea. Opening up both a call time spread, and put time spread simultaneously. I'm using google as an example.

The strike is 600 for all four legs of this strategy. The bet is that google will trade between 600 and 610 between now and Thursday i.e. two days of trading. If that happens one could potentially make $750 in two days. Downside is if google rallies or drops 5% then you lose $1.5K. the info is based on one contract each.

Trade summary:

Ticker: GOOG
Instrument: Option
Type: Put
Strike: 600
Maturity: 2010-12-23
Buy/Sell: Sell
Price: 1.7
Implied Vol: 28%

Ticker: GOOG
Instrument: Option
Type: Put
Strike: 600
Maturity: 2011-1-21
Buy/Sell: Buy
Price: 16.6
Implied Vol: 28%


Ticker: GOOG
Instrument: Option
Type: Call
Strike: 600
Maturity: 2010-12-23
Buy/Sell: Sell
Price: 5.25
Implied Vol: 28%

Ticker: GOOG
Instrument: Option
Type: Put
Strike: 600
Maturity: 2011-1-21
Buy/Sell: Buy
Price: 20.6
Implied Vol: 28%

*Implied vol is an estimate. Could be +/- 2%.

Payoff chart:

Darn the google train!

Seems like is leaving without me :(... No worries. On a separate note outright short on NFLX seems dangerous at this time. With more than 20% of the float short, a short squeeze is a real possibility.

short CBU

Short CBU at 27.73

Friday, December 17, 2010

Short TIF

Ticker: TIF
Instrument: Option
Type: Put
Strike: 60
Maturity: 2011-05-21
Buy/Sell: Buy
Price: 3.45
Implied Vol: 34.5%

Close Out TIF Strangle

Good that we turned the short into strangle. TIF seems to be hitting bubble territory. Put goes worthless, Call closing at 4.85

Close Out (GOOG)

Closing out on google call spread. Still bullish on google, however slowing down for the holiday season.

Thursday, December 16, 2010

Short PLL

Ticker: PLL
Instrument: Option
Type: Put
Strike: 50
Maturity: 2011-01-21
Buy/Sell: Buy
Price: 1.45

Close Out NAT/ERF

NAT at 26.02, ERF at 28.44

Friday, December 10, 2010